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Brazil


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BRAZIL ---------------------------4752NEWS STORY

La carrera presidencial en Brasil sigue reñida antes de la segunda vuelta del domingo

Las últimas encuestas muestran un duelo ajustado entre Flávio Bolsonaro y Lula mientras Brasil se prepara para votar

Brasil se acerca a una segunda vuelta presidencial muy reñida este domingo 25 de octubre, con el senador Flávio Bolsonaro ligeramente por delante del actual presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva en algunas de las encuestas más recientes. El resultado definirá el rumbo político de la mayor economía de América Latina e influirá en sus prioridades nacionales y relaciones internacionales.

Una encuesta publicada por Ipespe/Abrapel el 23 de octubre otorgó a Bolsonaro el 50,5 % de los votos válidos, frente al 49,5 % de Lula. La diferencia se encuentra dentro del margen de error de la encuesta, lo que indica un empate técnico. Otra encuesta de Datafolha, publicada el 22 de octubre, también mostró un empate entre los candidatos, con un 50 % cada uno de los votos válidos. Estos resultados sugieren que el desenlace final sigue siendo incierto.

Una contienda con consecuencias nacionales e internacionales

Flávio Bolsonaro, de 45 años, es hijo del expresidente Jair Bolsonaro y representa a la oposición conservadora de Brasil. Su campaña ha hecho hincapié en la seguridad pública y en la necesidad de dar un rumbo diferente al gobierno federal. Lula, de 80 años, busca otro mandato y ha destacado los programas sociales, la soberanía nacional y la agenda económica de su administración.

La elección también está atrayendo la atención internacional. Diplomáticos en Brasilia debaten cómo reconocer rápidamente al ganador oficial después de la votación del domingo, en medio de la preocupación de que las declaraciones prematuras de líderes extranjeros puedan debilitar la confianza en el proceso electoral brasileño. Las autoridades electorales de Brasil son las responsables de confirmar el resultado definitivo.

La política económica y la Amazonía en el centro del debate

El próximo presidente deberá tomar decisiones relacionadas con el gasto público, el empleo, las finanzas de los hogares y las relaciones de Brasil con sus principales socios comerciales, incluidos Estados Unidos y China. Lula ha promovido beneficios sociales y medidas económicas para atraer votantes, mientras que las dudas sobre el gasto público y las perspectivas fiscales del país siguen formando parte del debate general.

La política ambiental es otro asunto importante. Brasil alberga la mayor parte de la selva amazónica, una región fundamental para la biodiversidad y la regulación del clima mundial. El enfoque del gobierno frente a la deforestación, el uso del suelo y la conservación influirá en el futuro de la selva y en los compromisos ambientales de Brasil.

Con las últimas encuestas mostrando una contienda ajustada, ninguno de los candidatos puede considerarse ganador con certeza. Los votantes acudirán a las urnas el domingo 25 de octubre, y el conteo oficial determinará quién estará al frente de Brasil durante el próximo mandato presidencial.

By Heydi Bernal for Ruta Pantera on 10/23/2026 8:14:15 AM


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References:
Folha de S.Paulo. (2026, October 23). Ipespe/Abrapel: Flávio Bolsonaro has 50.5% of valid votes in the second round, and Lula has 49.5%. https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2026/10/ipespeabrapel-flavio-bolsonaro-tem-505-dos-votos-validos-no-2o-turno-e-lula-495.shtml
Reuters. (2026, October 23). Foreign diplomats in Brazil discuss quick recognition of runoff winner. https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/foreign-diplomats-brazil-discuss-quick-recognition-runoff-winner-2026-10-23/


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