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Investimentos estratégicos na América Latina diante da competição EUA-China. Imagem de Konevi Pixabay


Hemisphere
HEMISPHERE ------------------------------------2281NEWS STORY

EUA, China e eleições de 2026 reconfiguram investimentos na América Latina

A competição geopolítica entre Washington e Pequim, junto com as eleições de 2026, está alterando os fluxos de capital na região

Em meio a um ciclo eleitoral intenso em vários países da América Latina e à crescente competição estratégica entre Estados Unidos e China, os fluxos de investimento estrangeiro para a América Latina estão passando por uma transformação significativa em 2026, com implicações profundas para as economias e políticas regionais. (bloomberglinea.com)

De acordo com um relatório do Instituto de Finanças Internacionais, o relacionamento da América Latina com Washington e Pequim deixou de ser neutro e tornou-se um determinante crucial nas decisões de investidores globais. A política externa dos EUA não opera mais sem viés na região, e decisões de investimento em ativos, dívida soberana e moedas estão incorporando cada vez mais variáveis de alinhamento geopolítico.

Analistas afirmam que a administração dos EUA busca reafirmar sua liderança no Hemisfério Ocidental por meio de instrumentos financeiros, comerciais e de segurança. Iniciativas de apoio financeiro a países como Argentina, assim como envolvimento político e econômico na Venezuela, são interpretadas como parte dessa estratégia mais ampla de consolidação de vínculos econômicos e estratégicos na região.

Por sua vez, a China continua a aprofundar sua presença como parceira comercial e financeira chave. Pequim expandiu investimentos em infraestrutura, logística e tecnologia, permanecendo como principal destino de exportação para várias economias da América do Sul. O impulso chinês em portos estratégicos como Chancay (Peru), além de projetos de desenvolvimento energético e digital, ilustra essa relação multifacetada.

Os mercados financeiros já refletem essa redistribuição de riscos e oportunidades. A segmentação geopolítica influencia preços de ativos, prêmios de risco soberano e a percepção de estabilidade econômica. Países como México, Colômbia e Argentina são considerados especialmente expostos a potenciais repercussões das políticas dos EUA, enquanto acordos comerciais e logísticos com a China continuam atraindo capital asiático.

O calendário eleitoral de 2026 adiciona uma camada adicional de complexidade. No Brasil e no Peru, os resultados eleitorais podem modificar significativamente a orientação da política econômica e comercial, afetando o equilíbrio entre parceiros geopolíticos e reformulando a confiança dos mercados.

Especialistas em investimentos internacionais indicam que esse contexto cria oportunidades e desafios simultâneos: embora acordos comerciais profundos e acesso a capital estrangeiro possam impulsionar o crescimento, a volatilidade política e mudanças no alinhamento geoestratégico introduzem níveis de risco sem precedentes para os países latino-americanos.

Nesse novo cenário, a América Latina se encontra no epicentro da competição global entre potências, onde decisões internas de política econômica, eleições nacionais e acordos internacionais definirão o rumo do investimento estrangeiro nos próximos anos.

By Heydi Bernal for Ruta Pantera on 2/12/2026 1:49:16 PM

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